Should You Buy Gold in India When Prices Are Near ₹1.7 Lakh?
Aperture Editorial
Published in Aperture
Gold in India hit ₹1.78 lakh per 10g earlier this year, an all-time high. It’s hovering just below that now. Should you buy, or is this the worst possible time to add gold to your portfolio?
Short answer: the price level alone isn’t the right frame. Whether gold makes sense depends on what you already own, what form you’re buying, and what you want it to do. Most Indian investors get at least one of those wrong.
Key Takeaways
- Buying gold at all-time highs isn’t inherently wrong. Trying to time the gold market usually is.
- Sovereign Gold Bonds are discontinued for new issues in 2026. Gold ETFs are now the best vehicle for most investors.
- Keep gold to 10-15% of your total portfolio. It’s a hedge, not a growth engine.
- Most Indian families already hold significant gold in jewellery. Count that before adding more.
- A ₹500/month SIP in a gold ETF or gold mutual fund beats waiting for a dip that may not arrive.
Is Buying Gold at ₹1.7 Lakh a Mistake?
No, but buying more than you should is. Gold has hit all-time highs dozens of times over the past 20 years. Every peak looked like the worst time to buy, yet most people who bought there and held for five-plus years came out fine. Timing gold based on the price chart rarely works.
That said, gold returned roughly 78% in the past year in India. Expecting a repeat next year isn’t realistic. The macro factors that drove that run, including dollar uncertainty and rupee weakness, may not hold at the same intensity. A grounded expectation over a five-year horizon is somewhere in the 10-15% annualised range.
If you have no gold in a portfolio that should have some, buying now with a systematic approach is perfectly sensible. Adding more because prices are rising, when you’re already well-exposed, is the actual mistake.
Why Did Gold Hit Record Highs in India This Year?
A few things drove it at once. Global central banks have been buying gold at near-record pace, treating it as a hedge against dollar-reserve risk. A surge in Middle East tensions earlier this year triggered safe-haven buying. And the rupee weakened against the dollar, pushing domestic prices up even when global prices were flat. The combination drove gold higher than most analysts had forecast at the start of the year.
That last piece has definately added to gold’s appeal for rupee-based investors. Beyond the price movement, you’re also buying a quiet hedge on the currency, which matters a lot if your income and long-term goals are all in rupees. Over the past decade, rupee depreciation alone contributed roughly 3 to 4 percentage points per year to domestic gold returns compared to dollar-denominated performance.
Which Form of Gold Is Best to Buy Right Now?
Gold ETFs or gold mutual funds for investment, physical gold for jewellery and gifts. Sovereign Gold Bonds have a significant 2026 update that changes the calculation entirely for new buyers. Here’s the full breakdown by situation and cost.
| Option | Entry Cost | Liquidity | Tax in 2026 | Best For |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Physical Gold | Making charges 8-25% | Low | 12.5% LTCG after 24 months | Jewellery, gifts |
| Gold ETF | 0.1-0.5% expense ratio | High | 12.5% LTCG after 24 months | Investment, SIP |
| Digital Gold (apps) | Spread + storage after 5 yrs | Medium | 12.5% LTCG after 24 months | Small, short-term only |
| SGB (secondary market) | Market price + brokerage | Low | 12.5% LTCG at redemption | Tranches near maturity |
The SGB situation deserves a clear explanation. New tranches are discontinued as of early 2024, with no fresh issues expected in FY 2026-27. The government found issuing SGBs at current gold prices too costly compared to regular bonds. You can still buy existing SGBs on the secondary market through NSE or BSE. But since April 1, 2026, the maturity capital-gains exemption only applies to investors who subscribed during the original RBI issuance and held continuously to the end. Buy an SGB secondhand today and you pay 12.5% LTCG at redemption, the same as a Gold ETF. The big tax advantage that made SGBs special is gone for new buyers.
It’s the kind of regulatory change that occured quietly, without the attention it deserved, given how many investors had been relying on the SGB route as their primary gold holding.
For most people, a Gold ETF is now the clean choice. Start a SIP through Groww, Kuvera, or a similar platform. No demat account? Use a gold mutual fund (fund of funds) instead, which invests in Gold ETFs without requiring one. Funds like Nippon India Gold ETF, SBI Gold ETF, and HDFC Gold ETF are large, liquid, and have expense ratios under 0.5%.
How Much Gold Should Your Portfolio Actually Have?
10 to 15% of your total investment portfolio. That’s the standard guidance and it holds. Gold is a hedge and a store of value against rupee weakness, not the primary growth engine. Equities do that job. Gold is the seatbelt, not the fuel.
Say you have ₹5 lakh invested across everything. Around ₹50,000 to ₹75,000 in gold makes sense. The rest should be working harder in equity mutual funds or FDs, depending on your timeline.
The part people miss: physical jewellery counts. It’s easy to think of your investment portfolio in one mental bucket and your family’s physical gold in a seperate one. From a net worth standpoint, it’s all the same exposure. If your household already holds significant jewellery, you may be at or above 15% allocation without realising it. Check that before buying more.
For someone just begining to invest with little existing gold, a ₹500 to ₹2,000 monthly SIP in a gold ETF builds exposure gradually, which beats a single lump-sum purchase when prices are near highs.
Frequently Asked Questions
Should I wait for gold prices to fall before buying?
Trying to time gold is a losing strategy for most people. A better move: decide your target allocation (10-15%), then invest in small amounts over 3 to 6 months via a SIP. If prices dip you buy more units. If they keep rising you’re already in. Waiting indefinitely often means missing substantial gains.
Are SGBs still a good investment in 2026?
New tranches are discontinued. On the secondary market, the capital gains exemption at maturity no longer applies to buyers who didn’t subscribe during the original RBI issue. Unless you find an SGB tranche close to its maturity date at a meaningful discount, Gold ETFs offer similar tax treatment with far better liquidity.
Is digital gold through apps like PhonePe or Paytm safe?
Digital gold from apps is not SEBI-regulated and carries counterparty risk. For amounts under ₹5,000 and short timeframes, it’s fine. For any serious accumulation over months or years, use a Gold ETF or gold mutual fund through a regulated broker or platform instead.
What is the difference between a Gold ETF and a gold mutual fund?
Gold ETFs trade on exchanges like stocks and need a demat account. Gold mutual funds (fund of funds) invest in Gold ETFs and don’t require a demat account. They carry a slightly higher fee due to an extra layer, but are simpler for SIPs and better for people who don’t have a trading account set up yet.
Does gold protect against inflation in India?
Yes, broadly, though not perfectly in the short term. Over 10 to 20-year periods, gold in India has generally kept pace with or beaten domestic inflation, partly because ongoing rupee depreciation adds to domestic returns. Don’t expect it to track inflation month-to-month. It’s a long-horizon hedge, not a short-term one.
Is physical gold a good investment compared to a Gold ETF?
For investment, no. Making charges on physical gold range from 8 to 25%, meaning you buy in at a significant premium. Selling later means going to a jeweller at a discount to spot price. Gold ETFs have near-zero entry cost, full liquidity during market hours, and clean price tracking. Buy physical gold when you need the jewellery, not as a portfolio asset.
The Short Version
Gold near ₹1.7 lakh isn’t obviously overpriced or obviously cheap. Prices at all-time highs don’t make gold a bad asset; they make poor timing strategy worse. Keep your allocation to 10-15%, use a Gold ETF or gold mutual fund since SGBs are no longer available fresh, and build up in small amounts rather than one lump sum. Check how much physical gold your household already holds before adding more. That counts too.
This post is for general information only and is not financial or investment advice. Consult a SEBI-registered financial adviser for decisions specific to your situation.
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